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The Solari Report – 15 Jan 2009
In 1997, I had approximately $500,000 of assets sitting in a 401(k) at T. Rowe Price. The funds represented a portion of the money I saved while working on Wall Street. After I left the Bush Administration, I used these funds, along with the proceeds of the sale of my house, to start a company called the Hamilton Securities Group.
It was not long before Hamilton Securities was successful and repaid my 401(k) the funds that had given it life.

A few years later, the federal loan sale program for which Hamilton served as financial advisor was the target of a highly politicized “investigation” by the federal government. A new Housing Secretary was eager to assist the Federal Reserve and Treasury in engineering a housing bubble: honest people had to go.
After a year of beating back false allegations, the government put my 401(k) under audit. My company’s chief financial officer and I looked at each other and said, “Uh-oh.” Somebody was trying to prevent me from borrowing the money.
Sure enough, a few months later the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) created a pretext to withhold monies owed to Hamilton and demanded several hundred thousand dollars of contract close-outs. Our bank received anonymous tips which persuaded them to pull our credit line. Our insurance company breached its obligation to fund our attorneys. And (surprise, surprise) our auditors said that the audit meant I could not arrange a loan from my 401(k) to Hamilton Securities. We were to learn in time that the auditors were quite dirty in the affair.
Fearless by nature, I closed out my 401(k) without blinking an eye, paid $225,000 in taxes and penalties, and loaned the remaining money to Hamilton Securities for contract compliance and legal expenses. I hired an excellent attorney on contingency and sued the federal government for the monies owed.
And we eventually won.
The moral of the story was that if you stand in the way of the largest housing bubble and pump and dump in history, it pays to have a nest egg.
After winning the case, my accountant hoped that some or all of the settlement would repay Hamilton’s legal expenses. Thrilled at the possibility, she said, “The first thing we’ll do is set up a new 401(k).”
“No,” I said. “I will never have an IRA or 401(k) again.” To this day, I never have. Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me.
I assumed that my situation was unique – I hold highly visible positions – and that most people had nothing to worry about. There are numerous benefits to building savings in a 401(k) or IRA, although many of these plans are restricted in their investment choices. With persistence, someone can usually make such investment vehicles work for them. So, I had never considered the possibility of overt or covert confiscation of IRAs and 401(k)s until I read one of Franklin Sanders‘ comments about gold confiscation:
“Finally, gold and silver today don’t represent the huge pool of wealth they represented in 1933. [Solari note: the US government confiscated gold in 1933.] Why risk wide-spread disobedience to steal such a tiny plum? If the government wants to steal a big pool of wealth, they’ll snatch your pension funds and IRAs, not your gold.”
In fact, if you look at the value of most 401(k)s and IRAs lately, a great deal has already been “confiscated.” The mainstream media has described these losses as part of the normal economic cycle, but this is a fallacy. The losses are the result of a financial coup d’etat, including fraudulent housing bubbles, pump and dump schemes, naked short selling, precious metals price suppression, and active intervention in the markets by the government and central bank. Which begs the question, where is all this going?
I began hearing questions about whether it was safe to leave money in 401(k)s and IRAs late last year. These questions were due, in part, to a report in the Carolina Journal that floated the idea of federally-managed retirement accounts. And there were other concerns: the ease with which financial interests have manipulated Congress, the passage of the highly unpopular bailout package in 2008, and the growing federal deficit. These issues have raised the possibility of greater financial losses in 2009, increased capital controls, and possible constraints on 401(k)s and IRAs.
Enter the Wall Street Journal. Last week, a front-page article in the Journal examined recent 401(k) losses: Big Slide in 401(k)s Spurs Calls for Change. Here’s an excerpt:
“About 50 million Americans have 401(k) plans, which have $2.5 trillion in total assets, estimates the Employee Benefit Research Institute in Washington. In the 12 months following the stock market’s peak in October 2007, more than $1 trillion worth of stock value held in 401(k)s and other “defined-contribution” plans was wiped out, according to the Boston College research center. If individual retirement accounts, which consist largely of money rolled over from 401(k)s, are taken into account, about $2 trillion of stock value evaporated.”
First of all, as I have pointed out many times, money does not simply disappear. It goes somewhere. The fact that $2 trillion has suddenly “evaporated” may mean that some, even greater, corresponding value is now under new ownership. And, in this case, the owners are no longer ordinary investors. If you have doubts about this, see my definition of “pump and dump”.
The Journal article also raised the possibility of changes in the structure of 401(k) accounts:
“Congress has begun looking at ways to overhaul the 401(k) system … One such plan called for establishing accounts that would receive annual contributions from the federal government, and would offer a guaranteed, but relatively low, rate of return. Another proposed automatically investing contributions in an index fund that holds stocks and bonds, with the mix getting more conservative as workers approach retirement.”
So, the solution is that the victims cede even more power to the perpetrators. Who’s pushing these ideas? Why is the Wall Street Journal floating such a trial balloon on the front page?
I live in an area with increasing tornado activity, but I am not planning on selling my home because of these risks. I know how to track storm warnings. I have a disaster preparedness kit and I know where the town’s storm cellar is located. With this in mind, I am not advising anyone to pull their money from a 401(k) or IRA. But, I do think we should understand the rules associated with this process. We should also make it clear to Congressional representatives that any tampering is not acceptable.
When we look at the real value of value (demand of something vs. real need and sustainable level of supply), then there are 5 categories which stand out: food, water, clothing, shelter and savings for a rainy day. Of the activities which people perform, 20% should be going to each of these. Any activity that doesn’t go toward these things is luxury.
Currently, only 2% of the population works to provide food.
The ‘economy’ which is usually in mind is a wasteful one, and an unnecessary one. As we see things start to decline, look more toward a 2% level of equity vs. the peak instead of this current 40% temporary plateau.
Until we reset the culture of cars, roads, nowhere houses and marketing of marketing, we will not have a sustainable economic model. Peak oil triggered some changes, but is not the root of the problem. The root of the problem is Blind Faith in Systems of systems combined with a ‘net consumptive’ instead of a ‘net useful’ culture. Sure, there may be some bumps in the stock market, some temporary stays of execution for the banks, but the fundamental idea that someone can just ‘make up’ value and then sell that perception is in the midst of failure now. People are looking for real answers and they aren’t getting any to the following questions:
“What is money worth?”
“Why am I working when rich people don’t?”
“What is government for?”
“What are people for?”
“What is my value to the universe?”
This Depression is a lot worse than the last one because the last one could be bought off with cheap energy and massive resource exploitation. It’s time for everyone to question the paradigms of Blind Faith which have sold them a bill of goods about working, living, and competing for no real reasons.
Andrew:
The 401k did not make a loan. It purchased a preferred stock with an opinion of a financial advisor and a very prominent Washington law firm.
My comment was not investment advice, as I am sure you know given your qualifications.
As to my qualifications, I will let the reader decide:
http://solari.com/about-us/resume/
Best,
Catherine
Catherine,
Just because you were caught up in political wranglings doesn’t make you qualified to be an investment advisor or another’s financial advisor. In fact, you would be violating securities law, giving investment advice without becoming registered as an investment adviser.
You are responding more from a position of governmental paranoia, which is certainly understandable. But the fact that people are losing money and how they are relating to your being attacked by the government is quite disingenuous. Market volatility is quite dissimilar to what happened to you.
My advice would be to not get in government at all. And if you think keeping money out of an IRA or 401k will protect your money from the govt, it won’t. The gov’t can go anywhere. What would have protected you is not use your ERISA qualified plan monies to fund a private securities transaction (loaning your company money). That had warning signs all over it.
But most people are no where near in the same situation as that and they are well advised to keep pumping money into their IRA and 401k.
Andrew Orr, CFP
Please note that the phrase “lesser of cost of market” in my earlier post should read “lesser of cost or market.”
Perhaps we should look at the various savings plans from nature’s perspective. Is it possible on a finite planet to (sustainably) save up more “food” than what will keep for a season or two? A second question might be: Is it possible to live well with only a winter’s worth of nuts stored away? A third: How do we get the capital to build the nut houses?
Is it safe to say that almost all of the savings that exist are paper only? Those of us familiar with fractional lending know that this is so. It may well be that only the Silent generation (see The Fourth Turning book mentioned earlier) will benefit from our brief foray into thinking that we can save up for retirement in a big way.
How do we shrink our footprints and live well? I think that it would look something like this:
http://www.rancholapuerta.com/index.html
Those who have saved up some nuts will provide the capital and have access to the infrastructure at the lesser of cost of market — thereby eliminating the ill effects of inflation and deflation. Those who have not saved up nuts — and have a propensity to learn — would work 20 hours per week building and operating the infrastructure. It will be a helluva lot more fun than getting a business degree and working in institutional investment management knowing that there won’t be any nuts for your pension fund clients at the end of this era.
Maybe we can start building our spa on a farm in Tennessee?
I have been concerned about my IRA account. So I recently moved it from one brokerage firm to a bank that I hope is more secure. (These days there just seems no way to do due diligence to protect oneself to make a sound call.) Anyway, as I was completing the rollover forms, the bank personnel told me “Oh! I meant to tell you! Last December, Pres. Bush signed into a law a waiver so that persons who normally are REQUIRED by law to take a min. distribution from their IRA accounts will NOT have to do so for 2009.” She was just so tickled to share this terrific news with me. I turned to my spouse with raised eyebrows and said, “Oh my goodness! The feds are deperate for people to leave their funds IN. Maybe we should be liquidate the account rather than just trying to roll it over into something we THINK might be safer.” The bank woman never grasped the dangerous signal that was represented by this unqiue waiver to the public that they do NOT have to take a min. distribution (unless it is the FIRST year of their required distribution). Pres. Bush signed the law on December 23, 2008. Surprised me — and has me concerned.
If you must lose your job to access your 401K and if you are on good terms with your employer, have them fire and then rehire you. Access your money and hide it or put it into something real. I know several people that have done this. Good luck.